Oh dear God, this blog entry is way too long and boring
Obviously, supporting Jeremy Corbyn is the only credible, honest thing a Socialist- or social democrat, even -should do, but some people don't do the credible and honest thing because they're afraid or unwise. I can deal with that, it doesn't mean they're bad people or not interested in the working-classes, it just means they have spent so long following a Third Way / Progress agenda they have failed to pay any attention to its complete failure as anything other than a ruthless pursuit of power at the expense of the mass of the population.
The fact is, a lot of people in the Labour party have been led into a political discourse that debated things like PFI vs no provision. Or aerial bombardment vs Islamofascism. Privatisation vs inefficiency (crazy, I know) People picked sides from something of a neo-liberal duopoly, and for Corbyn supporters to judge them because they were using a flawed schema is silly- they just made choices within their party according to what was presented to them.
The question of whether the last Labour government was successful because they created the minimum wage and tax credits (18 years ago) at the expense of increasing upward redistribution of wealth, more incarceration, inequality, privatisation, warfare and populist racism will be laid to rest, because times have changed. We can finally move onto what to do about a Conservative government, an EU referendum, austerity and Trident. And I think none of us have really debated these things (except the Scottish), let alone worked out the answer, hence why the right-wing agenda has won out.
Thus, I think the right-wing of the Labour party will also misjudge the support they have to conduct a coup against Corbyn. There are significant people in the party intent on turning a central premise of the Third Way -that left-wing politics is impossible -into a self-fulfilling prophecy. A succession of leaks, tactical resignations and mud-slinging will inevitably, desperately try to dislodge Corbyn before he is ever presented to the electorate. It's easy to claim this will happen because right-wingers terrifying monsters, but it's just as likely they're terrified of losing elections because, amazingly- they see themselves as different from Tories.
It is something the left-wing has to accept, that at the moment there are many people actually believe that you can mitigate against 'the worst excesses of capitalism' without in any way changing society. That the rich and/or powerful (a group to which many of us in London belong, by the way, particuarly in the third sector and political hierarchies) can be cajoled or negotiated into allowing some wealth to find its way into the hands of some deserving poor. Like Dave Brailsford, a succession of technocrats can create 'marginal gains' for the poor that will one day lead to some unknown place that is preferable to the Tories.
Yet I suspect a lot of people with this vague feeling that the world can get better without actually changing things much, those who fear left-wing politics won't win, also know that Burnham, Kendall or Cooper won't win an election, and nor will a factional Labour party, so they will get on board with Corbyn because they're party members, not monsters. As a complete outsider of the Labour party, who just chats to people occasionally, I'm largely guessing here. But I don't think the stomach is there, in the party rank-and-file, to fight against Corbyn.
There's still enough of us, all over the shop in the various political splinters and fragments out there, to continue the movement that has taken place outside the Labour party since the start of the century, and the place to stay is within that movement and all its variations. Our diversity is our strength, and by being not limited to party politics, by retaining independence from party politics, the left can appeal to people by continuing to react to what's going on in our communities, rather than becoming party machines people don't believe.
I think that's what a Corbyn victory is about. As he says himself, it's about the ideas, and once we move onto that sort of terrain- about the ideas we care enough to take onto the street about -the enemies won't be the Labour Party, his agenda will have moved us into opposition with the further right- and that's where those who are planning a coup against him will appear isolated on the left. It'll be those who try to force the immigration debate up a notch to put pressure on the Labour and Conservative party around the country who could set the tone. There'll be an EU referndum and a continued assault on the NHS. And that's where it could get messy.